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hx8yesterday at 5:26 PM1 replyview on HN

It sounds like the other side of the bet was the actual winning bet when compared to Truth. Maybe they have great climate models and actually make a bet that they have an edge on. Maybe they have a gambling problem. Either way, they are the victims here.


Replies

bloppeyesterday at 5:33 PM

They are the victims of Goodhart's law. The contract unambiguously said it would be decided by the reading of that particular thermometer.