logoalt Hacker News

dlenskiyesterday at 5:36 PM4 repliesview on HN

I agree, but the fact that authorities even have to spend time investigating is a massive negative externality.

A few years years ago, there was no conceivable profit motive for interfering with weather sensors on public property. Now there is one.


Replies

jandrewrogersyesterday at 6:35 PM

> A few years years ago, there was no conceivable profit motive for interfering with weather sensors on public property.

I have bad news for you. The manipulation of weather sensors for profit has a history that long pre-dates prediction markets. You just weren't paying attention until now.

show 1 reply
oleleleyesterday at 5:45 PM

This is the definitive argument for me against prediction markets. It creates incentives to do really dumb shit.

show 1 reply
AnthonyMouseyesterday at 6:24 PM

> A few years years ago, there was no conceivable profit motive for interfering with weather sensors on public property. Now there is one.

Can this really be said with a straight face?

Suppose you're an oil company, or a trader with a large position, and "hottest year on record ten years in a row" is bad PR that will make bills you don't like more likely to get passed. Or for that matter a company selling carbon capture stuff who wants to make sure it goes the other way. How about tobacco companies?

This has been a huge problem for as long as public data has been used to make decisions affecting profits.

show 1 reply