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mbmtoday at 12:42 AM1 replyview on HN

This is really neat, and actually pretty sophisticated. It's like a tiny fintech.

How well has the cash flow prediction worked?


Replies

cowlbytoday at 2:03 AM

It's great because Claude Code generated complex analysis/models 10X better than I was familiar with.

The key was normalizing the payee/categories so we can analyze month to month, and separating fixed vs variable spend. It then did a fancy Monte Carlo simulation with the computed mean/stddev per payee. And out came T+30/T+60 estimates at P50/P80/P90.