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cjtoday at 1:46 PM3 repliesview on HN

> Without a healty cartel, oil is doomed

Why/how?

Without a healthy cartel, wouldn't prices go down? Cheaper oil means less adoption of alternate energy sources.


Replies

WarmWashtoday at 2:01 PM

The goal of the cartel was to stabilize prices right in the sweet spot to keep the world addicted. Too low and players start losing money, too high and people switch away from oil, too much volatility, and people switch away from oil.

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array_key_firsttoday at 4:46 PM

The prices would go down too much, and then infrastructure would rot as production slows down. Then, prices would skyrocket, and so on.

Oil production and distribution is basically infrastructure, like energy or internet. It can't really follow free market dynamics without eating itself.

HWR_14today at 2:21 PM

A healthy cartel means consistent oil prices. Without it, oil may average cheaper over the long term (and almost certainly over the short term), but there will be a lot more variance.

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