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nimbiustoday at 2:33 PM1 replyview on HN

exactly. this sounds like a third path where the UAE charts its own course, and that course increasingly looks paved in Yuan.

OPEC cartel membership didnt gain it access to Hormuz, and the US petrodollar promise to protect UAE states from aggression in exchange for trade in USD could not be upheld.


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ericmaytoday at 3:01 PM

> the US petrodollar promise to protect UAE states from aggression in exchange for trade in USD could not be upheld

Well the war is still ongoing, and Iran's regime is already feeling the pain of the blockade [1]. Pricing oil in Yuan because, I guess, the US is somehow not protecting the UAE doesn't make sense because China won't be there to protect them either. The US can just say, well fine you can sell your oil in Yuan. But we'll just blockade the Straight and seize oil priced in Yuan or something. Who exactly does the UAE need protection from? Iran? China's ally?

I swear I read this same story over and over again. There's always just an accusation "thing happened, here's how the US is now in a state of being screwed" and there's just never any follow-up or perhaps imagination that the US could just do something too. Hypersonic missiles? US Navy is done for, no possible counter. Iran has drones? Boom. US is done for no way they can spend Patriot missile money on $30,000 Iranian drones. Nope, nothing anyone can do at all. Iran "closes the Straight", well the US can't do anything. Now they are "embarrassed" and "slammed".

> OPEC cartel membership didnt gain it access to Hormuz

What does this mean?

[1] https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-is-flooded-with-s...

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