Are there markets where people can bet on bankruptcy rates too? Gambling increases bankruptcies, and then people gamble on the bankruptcies.
after word spreads of easy pickings, funds swell into bankruptcy rate contracts. the success stabilizes average losses across Kalshi portfolios; the bankruptcy rate falls.
after smart money then moves to predicting the period of the oscillations, …
Double or nothing!
Relevant snl skit: https://youtu.be/wXZNuwY_5-U