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mattmaroonyesterday at 8:59 PM5 repliesview on HN

When I went through YC in 2007 a founder whose name you know drunkenly told me at a party that Google Docs and Macbooks would have Microsoft out of business by 2012. Someone here told me in 2018 I was nuts to buy a gas-powered car because in less time than you would drive a car for, everyone will have switched to electric and there will be no gas stations left.

The impending deaths of most things are greatly exaggerated.


Replies

decimalenoughyesterday at 9:35 PM

People overestimate the rate of change in the short run and underestimate the impact of change in the long run.

Ifkaluvayesterday at 9:16 PM

Next: “SWE is largely solved, expect mass unemployment in the next few years”?

show 2 replies
mykowebhnyesterday at 9:18 PM

I wonder how much of that is driven by organic market forces or through anti-competitive practices.

For example, Chinese electric vehicles are selling like hotcakes in Europe but you'd be hard-pressed to find any in the US.

moomoo11yesterday at 10:10 PM

what was ur startup