logoalt Hacker News

ninjahawk1today at 5:55 AM4 repliesview on HN

At the current rate, open sourced models are expected to surpass cloud models within a couple years based on a study I read a couple days ago.

Looking back at chatGPT and claude a couple years ago, very small Qwen models are basically equal in coding to what those cloud based models could do then. Also factoring in scaling laws, a 9b going to 18b is roughly a 40% increase, whereas 18b to 35b is 20%, I expect there will be a change of at least price in cloud based models.

Adobe used to be $600 per month, then it became $20 when distribution scaled.


Replies

baxtrtoday at 5:59 AM

While this might be true I’m worried about the hardware side of things.

What if you have a good enough model but the cloud model providers are better in procuring hardware for interference?

show 4 replies
sakjurtoday at 7:06 AM

> Adobe used to be $600 per month, then it became $20 when distribution scaled.

What product is this referring to? I haven't heard about Adobe having any offering that is quite that expensive?

great_psytoday at 7:23 AM

If you have a link to the study you read, please share it.

Traubenfuchstoday at 6:14 AM

What were all the datacenters for???

show 1 reply