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JumpCrisscrosstoday at 12:47 PM1 replyview on HN

> evolve from the same era the US became a super power, 1945-1955. Its downfall is its nostalgia for that period

Four out of our last five Presidents were born within 4 years of each other [1]. Three (Bush Jr., Clinton and Trump) were born in 1946.

Good news: 2024 was probably the last election where Boomers’ vote share was above 25%. In 2028, a significant number of states, including California and Texas, will have fewer than 20% of votes cast by Boomers. (194 EVs in 2028 and, using 2020 Census numbers, a further 243 EVs in ‘32.)

[1] https://www.loriferber.com/amp/research/presidential-facts-s...


Replies

ninkendotoday at 1:06 PM

I’m not convinced the changing demographics are going to change much in the way of electoral outcomes. It could just as easily be that conservatism is just a function of age, and GenX-ers will be voting more or less the same as the boomers did.

I’d love to be proven wrong on this.

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