logoalt Hacker News

slopinthebagyesterday at 8:50 PM2 repliesview on HN

I didn't get the sense that the author is nervous. What I tend to see are people who are nervous that going all-in on LLM workflows might not have the payoff they are expecting, and are becoming increasingly fanatical as a result.

Just one more harness bro. Just one more agentic swarm. Please bro, just one more Claude Max subscription. Please bro.


Replies

atleastoptimalyesterday at 10:55 PM

Complaining about every one off issue with LLM's ignores the bigger picture: they are getting better every month and there is no fundamental reason why they wouldn't surpass humans in coding. Everything else is secondary.

All I would need from an LLM doubter is evidence that at tractable software engineering task LLM's are not improving. The strongest argument against the increasing general capabilities of LLM's are the ARC-AGI tasks, however the creators admit that each generation of LLM's exceed their expectations, and that AGI will be achieved within the decade.

show 1 reply
aspenmartinyesterday at 9:17 PM

You say this as though performance has not followed a very clear and extremely rapid improvement in a startlingly short amount of time.

You’re definitely right that people adopt agentic workflows and are disappointed or worse, but the point is the disappointment has already reduced substantially and will continue to do so. We know this because we know the scaling laws, and also because learning theory has been around for many decades.

show 5 replies