alt Hacker NewsStill trying to understand if a Macbook Pro M5 Max with 128GB is likely going to be able to run coding models well enough that I can cancel my Codex, or even go down to the $20/month plan.
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Have been using Qwen 3.6 27b recently along with various other models the last month and it is very capable for writing code at a level I haven't need to use a subscription for 95% of what I throw at it. Been using it to write extensions for Pi to expand tool kit without much fuss as one example. Is it as fast or SOTA? No, but you can't ignore how functional it is on hardware you own. Where it can begin to struggle is giving too open ended prompts or investigating complex technical issues. At that level its knowledge is not high enough to solve those problems on its own.
A 128GiB MacBook Pro in Canada is what, north of CAD $11k after tax? That’s around USD $7k. At $20/month for a cloud AI subscription, you’re looking at almost 30 years of service for the same money.
How long do people realistically expect a laptop to stay competitive with SOTA local models? Especially in a space where model sizes, context windows, and inference requirements keep moving every year.
And even if the hardware lasts, the local experience usually doesn’t. A heavily quantized local model running at tolerable speeds on consumer hardware is still nowhere near frontier hosted models in reasoning, coding, multimodal capability, tool use, or reliability.
The economics just don’t make sense to me unless you specifically need offline inference, privacy guarantees, or low latency for a niche workflow. Otherwise you’re tying up $10k upfront to run an approximation of what you can already access through a subscription that continuously improves over time.
You could literally put the difference into index funds and probably cover the subscription indefinitely from the returns alone, even accounting for gradual price increases.