> Security will be a wedge to restrict the sophistication of open-weight and local LLMs, just as it's been used to demonize and restrict cypherpunk technologies

Unlikely in America or China. This is not a game either can singularly control, and locking down the R&D means conceding momentum to the party that doesn't. Which means use restrictions will be contained to countries satisfied with playing second fiddle.

Instead, I suspect we'll see momentum towards running software on publisher-controlled servers so the source code can be secured through obscurity. It isn't perfect. But it might be good enough to get us through this transition.

As long as it is within the country, restriction works. How do you restrict the capability from a foreign entity, especially a hostile one?

Didnt work out so well with the cypherpunk technology so there is hope

If they tried to lock down local models more people would use them. They would also have to take down a few us companies in the process who would go down fighting for certain.