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lmmtoday at 1:24 AM1 replyview on HN

> The Iran war doesn't count as the alignment of interest requires an actual threat of being defeated.

That's starting to sound a bit no-true-scotsman. If we need an existential threat to the US, that's not going to happen - realistically China conquering Taiwan or even building an empire around the Pacific would still not be felt as such a threat.


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cjbgkaghtoday at 1:56 AM

To align the interests there has to be a substantial negative consequence that would be felt by the grifters if the endeavor fails.

The US is already close to losing world hegemony status and it kinda needs it in order to print money / export inflation. A multipolar world is one where the US is greatly diminished and this will happen with or without losing a war.

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