alt Hacker NewsAccording to this article: whenever someone games a benchmark to make an upward chart on some y-axis, it's YOUR responsibility to prove how and why that trend can't continue indefinitely.
emoji face with eyes rolling upward
Replies
AnimalMuppet • yesterday at 5:10 PM
I'm pretty sure that gaming benchmarks can continue indefinitely.
Seems to me that the default is "I don't know what's going to happen" and if you're making a confident prediction, bring evidence.
Scott makes a Lindy effect argument which is plausible, but don't let that fool you, we still don't know what's going to happen.