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triceratopsyesterday at 11:46 PM0 repliesview on HN

> even though clearly he was wrong.

Once again, a failure to understand probabilities.

"They gave heads a 50% chance and it came up tails. They're claiming success for giving heads more of a chance than anyone else but they were still wrong". 65-35 probability is squarely in the neighborhood of a literal coin toss.