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themgttoday at 3:15 PM0 repliesview on HN

Because the "rate of improvement" is only astonishing in well understood areas and really only astonishing if you yourself are not that great at what you do.

This is a bold vague claim many on HN make, but never put back-of-napkin numbers on. e.g. do you think agentic Opus 4.7/GPT 5.5 are 95th percentile coders but you're 98th percentile? Or are you saying you're a middle-of-the-road 60th percentile coder and AI is 20th percentile so only 20% worst programmers should worry? Let's be specific about the claim being made.