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sswatsonyesterday at 8:35 PM2 repliesview on HN

Good on you for spelling out this reasoning, but it is manifestly unsound. For a wide variety of values of X, people a few years ago had no reason to expect that LLMs would be capable of X. Yet here we are.


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TheOtherHobbesyesterday at 8:41 PM

In 1989, Gary Kasparov said that it was "ridiculous!" to suggest a computer would ever beat him at chess.

"Never shall I be beaten by a machine!”

In 1997 he lost to Deep Blue.

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zardoyesterday at 9:07 PM

This is something that could be demonstrated rather than just argued.

Train an LLM only on texts dated prior to Newton and see if it can create calculus, derrive the equations of motion, etc.

If you ask it about the nature of light and it directs you to do experiments with a prism I'd say we're really getting somewhere.

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