I don't think LeCun is saying they won't be able to program. I think he says we won't hit AGI. Programming does not require AGI; it's a pretty specific skill!
-- I think this article is COPE, if I'm being quite honest. I thought of putting cute analogies, like the C programmers saying the Python and Javascript programmers are not "hardcore" enough... but the truth should be obvious to anyone using LLMs effectively.
-- Current AI is a much better programmer than 100% of people and when directed by someone in that top 10%, it's a force majeur.
This is my experience. Though ice been writing LLM harnesses, agents, tooling, etc for 5 years now and believe it requires several hundred hours of experience before understanding how to consistently outperform at scale.
> it's a force majeur
I assume you meant something like 'force multiplier"? Force Majeure is an uncontrollable event that prevents a party from fulfilling a contract. Which some may argue is what AI will also deliver. :)