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TSiegetoday at 12:48 PM1 replyview on HN

I really can't tell what is going on with AI these days. I hear AI labs claiming theyre profitable or close to it. I hear companies say they're dubious the juice is worth the squeeze. I've seen anecdotal claims of a measurable increase in productivity of 2x in PRs created and merged coming in at cost 20% of engineering employee budget. Others say they're still getting no value (which I doubt). Simon Willison's recent post went into debunking the AI sticker shock claims somewhat. Either way this seesawing between new golden era and the greatest VC money furnace is becoming exhausting.

I'd like to see real numbers at this point, and this article is just a few bullet points that link to other articles. Talk is far cheaper than tokens and I'd like to have a workflow that I can rely on being there in six months.

https://simonwillison.net/2026/May/27/product-market-fit/#th...


Replies

bitexplodertoday at 1:15 PM

AI Has empowered people to build things much more quickly. Not slop if you are even a little conscientious about how you use it. What it does not do fix the human structural problems. If you are solving the wrong problems you aren’t doing anything useful. Just because you can now take an idea to near completion doesn’t mean it was worth doing, but now you spent tokens and a lot of your mental bandwidth to finish it. Or worse you let it become slop and it will fall apart if you even look at it funny.

Previously if I needed to automate something I thought really carefully about it. Now, I still think really carefully about it. I had fun AI coding some tools I always wanted but they were just pet projects for me. I had fun AI slop coding a couple of things, but it was not good software. But if you have a clear and valuable target? AI can absolutely get you there.

Multiply that across all your colleagues and a lot /seems/ to be happening, but what is actually moving the needle?