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mtrifonovtoday at 2:52 PM1 replyview on HN

Funny timing. I've been working on a prediction market orchestration that runs Claude and a few others over Polymarket/Kalshi. The models are NOT unanimous. At all, really. I spent about a month convinced that I could just run all five and take majority vote. Eventually I pivoted to a chaining approach where I benchmark areas each model excels, and settled on more like a graph-like architecture where outputs get split and verified by another, then reconstructed, and re-verified at each stage. Has actually been working out pretty well so far, 2 months in consistent profit, but I'm not a millionaire yet.


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aayushkumar121today at 2:58 PM

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