logoalt Hacker News

pingoutoday at 9:59 AM5 repliesview on HN

I suspect the plan was (and still is) to weaken authorities in Iran so that the people take over. Or have the Iranian government reach a deal that would be less favorable to them.

A plan with quite long odds you could rightly say, but not as stupid as subduing them by invading them I suppose.


Replies

jim33442today at 10:09 AM

US govt would've been propping someone else to take over if they were serious about that plan

rrr_oh_mantoday at 10:04 AM

Who is the people, as opposed to who is in charge now?

spiderfarmertoday at 10:48 AM

After all this, you still believe there’s a plan? At what age did you give up on Santa Claus?

watwuttoday at 10:18 AM

It still sounds like a dumb plan, especially since part of it was the plan to put a hereditary king as new ruler in place - a king that lived outside of Iran the whole time.

And per analysis I heard in French media from Iranian opposition understood the war as a war of destruction, not as a war of liberation. As they continued to be executed daily by the regime.

Meanwhile one of multiple explicit day 1 plans was a plan to negotiate with successor within the regime - recreate the Venezuela situation where you keep the regime, keep its tortures, but put head more willing to give up oil on its head.

fontaintoday at 10:18 AM

Trump explicitly stated that was his aim, for the people to rise up after Trump did a little long distance assassination. The plan is far more stupid than subduing Iran by invasion.

"At 2:30 a.m. EST on 28 February, Donald Trump released an eight-minute video statement on Truth Social, saying that the purpose of the US strikes in Iran was effectively[vague] regime change."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Iran_war#Hostilities

show 1 reply