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Noaidiyesterday at 9:36 PM1 replyview on HN

I did not say there was no non luck involved. I said the outcome is always determined by luck.

An example will help maybe. If I need $10 and someone tells me they will give me $9 but the last dollar will be give to me based on the flip of a coin, I only can get that $10 if I am lucky.

And you can even put the luck at the beginning. Same situation but the person says I will give you $9 only if you get the first $1 based on the flip of a coin.

The only way you get $10 in those situations is based all on a lucky outcome. No amount of preparation can guarantee an outcome that involves luck.

I know it is hard because most have beeen brainwashed to think all success is based only on merit and hard work, but it is a lie told to us by lucky people.


Replies

Jarwaintoday at 4:11 AM

Your two examples are extremely different. Walking away with $9 if you're unlucky and walking away with $0 if you're unlucky are two incredibly different outcomes.

Being successful from winning the lottery, versus being successful from working hard enough such that you qualify for a lottery with significantly better odds.

Sure luck is Involved, the outcome is determined by luck, but work is putting a hand on the scales. And in that sense, your prior comment of it being 100% luck is exaggerated

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