alt Hacker News>I see the same level of quality and excellence from people who use it like it’s another tool in their toolbelt
It's certainly currently an edge if you know what to tell the mystery box of magic in precise terms.
I don't think this distinction is going to endure though - every level of "it can't do it" has fallen and generally faster & more decisively than predicted. We started with it printing hello world, to autocomplete where you still needed to be able to know what the line should do, to autocompleting functions, to writing entire units, to working out architecture tradeoffs, to doing research planning architecture execution and testing all autonomously. That trajectory plus people retreating to nebulous "I'm adding taste" tells me this is going to sail straight past "tool in toolbelt" territory at Mach 10.
Everyone has their own perspective but to me "show me the receipt" at a specific point in time is a completely wrong lens for a tech that shows clear signs of exponential improvement (i.e. https://metr.org/ ).
I’ll agree it’s an edge. But edges aren’t worth the GDP of a middle sized European country.
> every level of "it can't do it" has fallen and generally faster & more decisively than predicted
I disagree. The agent + harness model was a huge leap and really moved the bar. The tools became genuinely useful for coding very quickly.
> Everyone has their own perspective but to me "show me the receipt" at a specific point in time is a completely wrong lens for a tech that shows clear signs of exponential improvement
At some point, the exponential improvements have to show results or it’s just a Ponzi scheme.