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Lplololopotoday at 5:50 PM2 repliesview on HN

The Facts: Tesla wasted billions for Cybertruck, hasn't had a new real model for years, promises Full Selfdriving without supervision for a decade and other companies are either on the same level or better.

xAI has such a shitty AI, that he makes more profit renting his Compute instead of making profit directly from it as the companies doing who have better AI then him.

Space-X is a limited business and he tries to make it unlimited by selling stories of Mars and dyson spheres (literaly), no one will ever finance or need as long as we have still desserts everywhere. In parallel his Starlink business gets competition left and right and despite this, he only has 10 Million customers AND increased prices for STarlink just last month or so.

And the payload, most payload increase is only Starlink. He has to sell us a story, that suddenly even with Starship, he can send so much payload up there to make Space-X this mega trillion company.

He can't even scale Starlink. Its expensive. The satelites work for 5 years and have limited capacity. He NEEDS Spaceship to be able to send up Starlink Server v3 and he hasn't even prooven he can get his ship back which he needs for the payload price.

Twitter/X? Yeah he tanked that one.

Optimus? When did you see the latest non faked demo? And while he works on it, we already have the market cornered here.


Replies

hectdevtoday at 7:09 PM

I'm just as dumbfounded about Tesla's stock value vs what it does in the market and will trash talk Elon all day long but SpaceX is a different beast. I know of whole industries that are just waiting for the ability to get more stuff into space for less. The company will succeed despite him once Starship is established.

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tjwebbnorfolktoday at 7:38 PM

Ok, you might be right about all of that. None of that changes the actual fact on the ground that the IPO valuation is currently being set at nearly 100x sales, and for god-knows-what-reason, enough people appear to be willing to actually pay it in order to justify that valuation.

Go argue with the entire market. I'm just the messenger.