Why is the first beer the most critical choice?
Why isn’t the last beer the most critical one, for example?
And the substance abuse is a progressive lying disease so once we figure out "this has gone too far" the threshold for abuse has been crossed a long time ago in most cases.
First the close ones see the problem and the individual in question is the last to see it. Thus a lying disease.
When the train hits you, it isn’t the caboose that kills you.