I mean in general I'd rather take slightly inflated estimates than the odd sprint poker stuff where other devs and PMs negotiate hours down and before you know it you're also stuck fixing nitpicky reviewer comments on code that is already good enough and have to send a release at like 7 PM, ofc also without enough tests or even enough manual checks and testing, cause people repeatedly act against their self-interest and try to compress timelines, thinking that that's somehow good for them.

At least with AI that actually does things more quickly, there is a bit more breathing room (introducing AI is easier than changing a given environment).

Aside from that, I wonder how much variety there is in practice: between "Oh yeah, I added that new button while we were in the meeting" and "The new button feature will be ready in Q3 according to the roadmap, once we have sign-off from all the stakeholders."