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simianwordslast Tuesday at 6:38 AM0 repliesview on HN

> He was also right about AI-video and sora in particular being a fundamentally flawed idea.

He specifically predicted that AI videos have plateaued in 2024 which is egregiously wrong.

> He was also right about the dangers and problems with the general inaccuracy of LLMs and people relying on it.

He specifically predicted that accuracy won't increase but accuracy has increased over the time significantly to the point where you can't get it to say anything inaccurate using the reasoning models.

> Also about the expected triggering of ROI-checking in companies, such as Uber is doing now. His prediction is, ROI is negative. And I'm awaiting the society's consensus on that.

The whole Uber skepticism is a good point because all of those people were wrong and Uber is profitable now.

You didn't address my other criticisms - he claimed that revenue would drop in 2024 and it skyrocketed. He claimed that users weren't interested in ChatGPT but now it has a billion users (6x jump).