alt Hacker News>Any benchmark on AI shows that it gets better linearly. So his prediction was correct. There is no exponential AI improvement anywhere.
?? https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-com...
>Any benchmark on AI shows that it gets better linearly. So his prediction was correct. There is no exponential AI improvement anywhere.
?? https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-com...
Ok, I guess there are some weird benchmarks where they managed to squeeze out an exponential. But even with Google's, OpenAI's or Anthropic's own benchmark it's a linear improvement between models.