alt Hacker NewsWhat has not change is the strategy of throwing a gargantious amount of computations at the problem. If anything we throw more computations at more problems now than in 2016 (and in 1997 for that matter). The underlying technology is pretty much the same, just more parameters, more calculations, etc. Yes every individual calculations takes less power now then in 2016, but we make up for that by making millions of millions of more calculations, even for simpler tasks.
Sure, but there will be an upper bound after which we will be close to human level performance on the vast majority of tasks, and then at that point the focus becomes efficiency (or a continuing road to superintelligence for some tasks).
But regardless, compute will get to a point where human level intelligence close to as efficient as we are. You could argue it already is today, when you factor in the resources that the average person in the west already uses in terms of their overall impact on the planet.