Yeah I’m lost by the constant use of “exponential”. What is the x and y axis when the talking heads say this?
I think people are typically referring to the task-completion time horizon at a fixed success rate [1]. That has had pretty robust exponential scaling for many years now.
[1] https://metr.org/time-horizons/
alt Hacker News
I think people are typically referring to the task-completion time horizon at a fixed success rate [1]. That has had pretty robust exponential scaling for many years now.
[1] https://metr.org/time-horizons/