I don’t think pointing at all the corporate coms about ai layoffs as fake invalidates the risk. The corporate stuff can be lies while the tech‘s impact could end up being real. It’s just noise in this context.

Similarly this assumption (the burger diagram in the article) showing execution phase shrinks but somehow everything else expands to keep the burger size the same seems less than plausible.

That said some portions of swe seem like they‘re still very far off from being threatened. Especially the portions where correctness is crucial. With say web dev you’ve got a lot more room to yolo it than say navigation code for rockets. The LLM can likely do both but I don’t think anyone is vibe coding the later any time soon