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asdffyesterday at 8:00 PM1 replyview on HN

It seems like every country that has been "allowed" to use nuclear weapons has figured it out though. It isn't like there are any that set off on this course and failed. AFAIK they all pretty much succeeded except Iran, probably because of all the blowing up of enrichment facilities. South Africa pulled it off. Israel pulled it off. North Korea pulled it off. India and Pakistan both pulled it off. Seems like anyone can do it if allowed to be pursued. France and England pulled it off. Canada too. What is "assumed" about the design in public knowledge seems pretty much solved in all but the exact nuance of how the secondary is triggered via gamma or xray, going off the Wikipedia article at least:

"The crucial detail of how the X-rays create the pressure is the main remaining disputed point in the unclassified press."

Then the article goes on to list the three leading theories. This seems like something you can probably evaluate for sure with a few bomb tests, again, if allowed by the controller of the planet, the USA.


Replies

fluoridationyesterday at 10:12 PM

I don't understand what your argument is. I never claimed that it was impossible to develop nuclear weapons if you don't already know how to do it. That every country that has attempted it has succeeded is not the same as "there's a recipe book you can find online that you can just follow to the letter and build your own nuclear bomb, provided you have the resources". If such a book existed it would drastically lower the barrier to build a nuclear bomb, because you could skip the science part and just follow the recipe, certain that it would work. To be clear, such books exist for drug manufacture; they exist neither for semiconductor manufacture nor for WMD manufacture.