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porridgeraisintoday at 4:57 PM0 repliesview on HN

This is true. The failure modes are simpler. And yes the ceiling is lower as well. Smaller models stability is lower over long sequences. And thus anything that needs a lot of CoT will be weaker. For example, I had a dumb lock + condvar with multiple defenses against lost wakeups in a N producer 1 consumer queue thing. Models generally need a lot of CoT before they realise they can switch it to a semaphore instead. Qwen typically isn't stable over such long CoTs and ends up adding more and more slop and band aids versus a larger model that outputs a large CoT and then realises it can swap 3 functions out with 2 lines if we use a semaphore.