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theossuaryyesterday at 5:45 PM3 repliesview on HN

I truly think by 2028 we'll have integrated chip systems that'll be able to run opus 4.8 level models at ~500 watts at acceptable performance. Honestly I think now is the worst time to invest in AI hardware. Get your harness ready and processes perfected with hosted models, and wait a few years to buy hardware to transition to running models locally


Replies

baqyesterday at 5:49 PM

Burning weights onto a chip in an efficient way and exposing that via USB would be acceptable for a good enough model tbh

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hurtigiollyesterday at 6:15 PM

if such hardware becomes available, it will be bought by the data-centers, just like they buy all the RAM today

CamperBob2yesterday at 5:55 PM

Honestly I think now is the worst time to invest in AI hardware.

That position is not without its own risks, though. Maybe Opus 4.8 will run on a single chip by 2028... and maybe you won't be allowed to touch it.

And what if Xi makes a play for Taiwan? That would be stupid, but so was invading Ukraine with tanks from Temu, and it still happened.

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