alt Hacker NewsDo you have a source on aggregate predictions of experts being drastically wrong?
I.e. the AI 2027 guys were memed for being AI lunatics on a lot here and they have been pretty on the money in terms of pace of progress accelerating/ gov moving towards nationalization/ coding agents
Replies
Retric • today at 3:34 AM
Do you have specific and objective examples of things people got right?
From my perspective there’s very slow but very real progress happening in the AI space. I see people making wild predictions in both directions, but in terms of actual unsupervised utility there’s definitely progress abet wildly slower than most hype.
➕ show 2 replies
7777332215 • today at 5:58 AM
The AI companies are trying to manufacture the appearance of what they foretold before it all falls apart horribly.
No they haven't. They've even 'officially' declared that their AI apocalypse has been postponed to another date [1], just out of reach, but close enough to be scary. Though in the quotes there the doomsayers are also already pre-hedging for why AI 2030 also won't come to pass.
[1] - https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/breaking-the-ai-2027-dooms...