Here is an issue I think about often, but I am not quite sure how to put it into words.
We have many extremely smart people in various fields. Executives, politicians, and society generally ignore them and do whatever they want. I don't believe that lack of access to intelligence is our problem. How is "free" intelligence going to improve this?
I don't just mean climate, but business planning, health, risk assessment, everything.
AI will not help by improving extremely smart people. AI will help dumb people and dumb processes with "free" expert-level intelligence. Anyone could still ignore intelligence and make ignorant decisions. But the default mode would be highly intelligent informed decision.
Example with health - a patient can read blood test results with Opus and get very good results for "free". This is far away from helping extremely smart people, still it improves society from the ground up.
Exactly.
If you're so hellbent on building the Tower of Babel 2.0, at least build it on a firm foundation.
Current construction is taking place on a millenia old bog.
The free intelligence may help to steer the society and politicians to one or the other side. The only question is who decides which.
There are lots of incentives for politicians and executives (and anyone else holding the levers of power) to ignore information, intelligence, and advice. I think you're right to be skeptical that "free" intelligence is going to improve anything without first addressing the incentives of the people holding power.