alt Hacker NewsTen years ago, most of the skeptics in these threads would have said the success of AlphaFold 3 was impossible.
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They'll only get to claim a hollow victory because AGI is impossible to rigorously define. None of the regulating bodies of consumer products will be able to define it better than academics. They'll use marketing to make those claims and there will be legal battles that keep it in a gray area.
They'll go for that because it's easier than actually inventing the 'sci-fi' AGI, shareholders keep making money, and it keeps them getting paid to keep going. If any of them actually do succeed, then that little deception will be peanuts.
Surely you can think of some times the skeptics have been right.
I immediately thought of this:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_predictions_for_autono...
Ten years ago, most people would have said cold fusion was impossible... and still is.
It doesn't mean everything you can think of is possible.
People who say every jobs will be automated never held any tool more advanced than a screwdriver and never worked a single day outside of an air conditioned office.
They were predicting flying cars for "the year 2000"...