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ceejayoztoday at 1:35 PM1 replyview on HN

But is it a "he was wrong" scenario, or is it a "he wasn't quite right on the timing" bit, ala https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Burry ?


Replies

root_axistoday at 1:51 PM

He is wrong by every conceivable measure. Not only was his timing wrong, where he specifically noted 10 years as the absolute maximum worst case scenario, but the trend has been accelerating in completely the opposite direction.

To his credit, he actually made a falsifiable prediction, unlike most folks that rely on infinite timelines so they never have to be accountable for their prognostications.