alt Hacker NewsSomeone has an ambiguous bet predicting when RFC 10000 will be published, but the numbers went straight from 9998 to 10008. No-one wins!
https://manifold.markets/CollectedOverSpread/when-will-rfc-1...
Replies
> This question resolves to the month of publication of the lowest-numbered RFC with a number greater than or equal to 10000.
So of 10008 is the first one after 10000, that date is the one to bet on.
Everytime I think that prediction markets bets can't get worse, they do, all in weird ways. I never expected someone betting over when RFC 10,000 will be published but somehow its fits just about right for prediction markets.
just wow, people seem to be having too much money it seems for them to bet over when RFC's are gonna get released.
This isn't even one of the worst offenders on prediction market or even comparable to it but I am just amazed (in a negative manner, surprised? its just strange) by the depth on what people actually bet on these markets.
RFC 10000 will not be published. They're just going to skip past the number.
https://mailarchive.ietf.org/arch/msg/tools-discuss/EpoQcVt_...
RFC #s are issued sometime before publication, so they can come out out of order. I would expect 9999, 10001, etc. to show up eventually.