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WorkerBee28474today at 1:13 AM1 replyview on HN

Looking at https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11733696/ it seems like the base rate was 0.04 per 100,000. So ~70 female deaths per year in a population the size of the USA. That link suggests the mortality rate was reduced by a factor of 2-4, so vaccinating 2 million (?) girls per year saves 30-50 lives.

Some back-of-the-napkin math puts the price tag per life saved in the 8 digit range.


Replies

mikeyousetoday at 2:10 AM

The problem with armchair back of the napkin math is that you make elementary mistakes like comparing the cost of a vaccine that provides decades of protection to the mortality statistics from a single year.