I'm surprised more people aren't freaking out about this. It seems likely a whole lot of Linux machines are going to fail to reboot in the next few months. The problem affects VMs too. I was grateful Proxmox put a little warning in its hypervisor GUI with a button to press to fix the BIOS of its VMs.
Secure Boot has been deeply broken for years, not providing meaningful security on most consumer machines.
I don't have any numbers to prove it, but I'd say the reason Linux users aren't freaking out is because the vast majority of them would've have disabled Secure Boot. In fact, many guides and videos from popular Youtubers[1] explicitly state to disable Secure Boot.
As for VMs, whilst the problem indeed affects them too, the reality is that most hypervisors - even commercial ones - don't actually enable Secure Boot by default, you'd have to go really out of your way to enable it for a VM.
Why has it been broken? I’m running secure boot on all my machines with my own certs. It works fine.
Whatever ms and hp / Lenovo do with their certs doesn’t affect me, since I only have my certs installed. Except on a single machine whose purpose is running windows, but it’s not on the critical path for my job.
Existing systems are going to continue to boot. The expiry date is enforced for signing new binaries, not for deciding whether an already signed binary is allowed to boot (barring buggy firmware).
https://mjg59.dreamwidth.org/72892.html (Secure boot certificate rollover is real but probably won't hurt you)
https://wiki.debian.org/SecureBoot/CAChanges#OMG.21.21.21_Wi...