logoalt Hacker News

gpmyesterday at 11:45 PM2 repliesview on HN

The ram/gpu shortage won't last forever though. Moreover we can be pretty confident that long-term the prices will obey wrights law and come down in cost significantly (from the pre-shortage prices) as we learn to produce them more efficiently.

LLM companies are valued as if they're going to have some enduring monopoly that they can extract money from... GLM-5.2 and similar models make that valuation very very questionable.


Replies

UncleOxidantyesterday at 11:53 PM

> The ram/gpu shortage won't last forever though.

No disagreement there, but it could easily last another 3 to 5 years which is a long time in tech terms.

show 1 reply
mannanjyesterday at 11:48 PM

> The ram/gpu shortage won't last forever though

Don't underestimate the markets ability to remain irrational

show 1 reply