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lebovictoday at 1:22 AM1 replyview on HN

It's too late to prevent distillation of some capabilities, like writing code or finding vulnerabilities [1].

But an AI lab can continue to produce immense economic value without releasing the model publicly for potential distillation. For example, it could use a model solely in-house to develop therapeutics.

Hopefully there's a future where others can access frontier models, but it's not neccessary if preventing proliferation through distillation is considered more important.

[1]: See the notes on distillation in https://dualuse.dev/posts/export-controls-on-fable


Replies

bandramitoday at 5:17 AM

My long-term prediction for the sector is that frontier models will be so expensive that they will only be available for grant-funded projects at research institutions, like supercomputer clusters were 25 years ago.