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odie5533today at 8:14 AM4 repliesview on HN

If Anthropic announced AGI tomorrow, how much better would that model be than Fable 5? It's looking like the road to AGI is gradual and moat-less. Models seem capable of improving other models, and even without illegal distillations many are nipping at the heels of Anthropic.


Replies

InsideOutSantatoday at 8:41 AM

Yeah, I think we're learning that we overestimated the relevance of recursive self-improvement in a singularity/intelligence takeoff scenario. We thought that once an AI could start improving itself, it would cause an exponential, self-reinforcing intelligence explosion.

Turns out that scaling up compute is much more important and also limits the upper end of intelligence.

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ForHackernewstoday at 8:48 AM

What is an "illegal" distillation? Terms of service are not laws, and clearly copyright laws are no barriers to developing AI models.

dogwalker5000today at 10:25 AM

If AGI = Data from Star Trek, it would be a huge leap. Frankly, anything less I wouldn’t consider as AGI.

IncreasePoststoday at 8:43 AM

Why would the creator of AGI sell it to anyone, when they could keep it to themselves and corner dozens of markets?