Is it hyperbolic though? One of the best things about the compute and memory shortage is that people are going to insane lengths to optimize things to run on lower memory / lower compute devices. If we keep this up for a while and then ramp up memory and local compute production, that AI inflection point may actually come.
Of course, these are a lot of ifs.
If we advance just 2x in hardware plus 2x in software, all coding can be done on local hardware imho.