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small_modeltoday at 7:26 AM4 repliesview on HN

The suckers are those companies agreeing to this deal. 'Your margin is my opportunity' means prices will fall eventually once more production come on line. The invisible hand will slap their faces


Replies

Arnttoday at 8:41 AM

"... involve a commitment to buy a certain quantity of product and pay for it in a pricing band that has a floor and a ceiling price. The floor price covers the historically high gross margins mentioned above, and the ceiling price means those who commit to an SCA are insulated if memory prices go even higher."

So clearly 16 large buyers consider it likely that prices will go even higher. How likely? >10% chance? Likely enough to sign an agreement.

regularfrytoday at 8:05 AM

"Eventually" doing a lot of work. Micron (and implicitly anyone signing this deal) are betting demand is going to outstrip capacity for several years, taking into account what new capacity can be brought online and when.

rob74today at 8:20 AM

Well, apparently those companies believe memory prices will continue to rise, so they'd better lock in supply at the current (high) prices. We'll see if they're right...

try-workingtoday at 7:30 AM

nobody is agreeing to what the headline says. the SCAs are just a hedge against even higher prices. the agreements will be broken the second prices drop.