Banning next gen open models would never happen globally, and would be a major disadvantage to any country that does.

If the USA continues to put barriers into the release of models, open and/or foreign models will start to out perform them.

If open models are competitive enough nothing will stop even US companies from running them locally.

It’s going to be a bit trickier to do that, even banning US providers from hosting them legally might be tricky to do.

damn, never thought about this - but yeah this is where we are heading.

open weight models - will be deemed too risky to be out in the open - since they can be abused by "bad actors" (unwashed masses)

The EU bans ASML for American chip use.

America bans intel and amd from exporting chips.

Whats next.

Yup, regulatory capture.