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imtringuedtoday at 7:00 AM3 repliesview on HN

The interesting part about saying the market is efficient is that currently, the market is headed for optimal extinction.

The better model has always been to treat money as a zero net worth system that cannot be used to carry value into the future at no cost because such an idea inherently contradicts the biological reality that human societies and their economies are built upon.

The consequences of using money as a "store of value" are so predictable and inevitable that I'm honestly tired of explaining it over and over again.

If you can carry money into the future but not the real physical equivalent it is the representative of, then the difference is a loss that is not yet reflected in the state of money. Your decision making will be suboptimal as a direct consequence.

This isn't something that can be swept under the rug or hand waved away.

It's no different than rust eating itself through your car. If you ignore the damage when it is small, the repair will be more expensive later on.

Meanwhile the economic model says, it is impossible for the condition of the car to get worse through a mere passage of time as that violates the idea of pure time preference theory and the idea of interest being a reward for abstaining from consumption. All of these are purely ideological wishful thinking. They basically claim that everything must get better through the passage of time and that rust doesn't exist.

Consider a society where rusting as a phenomenon was illegal to express. You would be allowed to talk about holes in the chassis but not be allowed to invent a primer or clear coat that effectively prevents rust since rust as a problem does not officially exist. Your attempt to avoid rust through economic expenditures would be considered value destruction, because it is inefficient use of resources.


Replies

SturgeonsLawtoday at 7:58 AM

Isn't depreciation the financial system's way of acknowledging that physical things deteriorate over time?

show 1 reply
MVQ93today at 8:09 AM

This is sadly a very ignorant and shallow comment. There's just so much literature that you seem to be unaware of. For starters, copy-paste your reply and ask an LLM about the Euler equation, or to find weak spots in your reasoning.

arter45today at 8:50 AM

>Meanwhile the economic model says, it is impossible for the condition of the car to get worse through a mere passage of time

Source?