logoalt Hacker News

Cider9986last Monday at 8:24 PM0 repliesview on HN

People are maximally incentivized to be right because of the monetary risk and reward.

A 94% odds indicates an extremely high likelihood that something is going to happen. It's relevant because it's a different, additional perspective than whatever a news article says.

It's a 2500℅ ROI if it's not struck down, so I would encourage you to bet if you think the outcome will be no.