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p1esktoday at 3:12 AM2 repliesview on HN

We’re experiencing gpt-2 moment in robotics now. This means in about 2-3 years they will do useful work (cooking, repairs, cleaning, etc).


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gavinsyanceytoday at 9:50 AM

So far all humanoid robot demos have either been either known tasks in a tightly-controlled environment, teleportation, or so poorly-functioning as to be obviously not fit for purpose. It's possible throwing more compute at the problem will work and they'll be useful in a few years. Or maybe we're actually experiencing a Markov-chain / ELIZA moment and are multiple decades away from anything actually useful.

ben_wtoday at 3:41 AM

The extrapolation cannot be justified. It may be much longer or tomorrow.

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